02 · The Full-Spectrum Oil Market

A market growing at ~31% a year.

Full-Spectrum cannabis oil carries materially higher therapeutic value and price than isolates or raw flower. Demand is expanding rapidly — particularly across regulated European healthcare markets.

$1.59 bn
Global Full-Spectrum oil market — 2025
$7.78 bn
Projected 2031 — ~31% CAGR
€3–5 bn
European medical-cannabis market forecast this decade
Europe's key markets

Germany leads. Portugal supplies.

Germany — the engine

The largest medical-cannabis market in Europe, reaching over €670M in 2025 with projections exceeding €1bn by 2028 and €3.5bn by 2030. Imports reached approximately 201 tonnes in 2025 — nearly triple the 72 tonnes of 2024, with Portugal supplying around 29% of that volume.

United Kingdom

The second-largest European market, valued at over €300M in 2025, with roughly 80,000 patients by year-end and demand expected to exceed 100,000 in 2026. Around 90% of medical-cannabis flower prescribed in the UK is imported — mainly from Canada, Portugal and Spain.

Italy

Consistently among Europe's largest markets alongside Germany, Spain and Portugal, with limited domestic production and a heavy reliance on imports to meet demand.

Portugal — the gateway

Portugal is the second-largest exporter worldwide behind only Canada. Exports grew from 709 kg in 2019 to 32,558 kg in 2024 — a rise of 172% in 2024 alone. INFARMED oversight aligned to GACP and GMP export standards.

72 t
Germany imports 2024
201 t
Germany imports 2025
32.5 t
Portugal exports 2024
Where Mértola fits

Premium product, value-added — not the commodity trap.

The project targets premium Full-Spectrum oil for export across high-demand markets — Germany, the UK, Switzerland and beyond. It is deliberately positioned away from the commodity flower segment, where prices have been falling internationally.

Sources: Prohibition Partners, BfArM, INFARMED, GrowerIQ and industry market reports (2025–2026). Figures are indicative and compiled for context.